Thursday, July 9, 2009

Its been a long time.

Been a little absent this week.

With 'Independence Day' in the U.S and the market doing the opposite to what i suggested i decided to take a little time out and re-assess my strategy.

i was not damaged to bad as that what 'stop-losses' are for. This is what happened

Photobucket

As you can see, the DJIA hit the 50% retracement and that was it.....it faulted and has now broken the upward channel and it seems to be sinking into oblivian....it has fallen below the support line from mid-may (8220) and is struggling to get back above (could be a bear trap???)

I've now gone back and drawn Fib lines in from March to June (Lows to the Highs). I will be using this as my guiding support and resitence lines to trade off. This is the DJIA

Photobucket

XJO time; this graph shows grouping around the L-T down-ward trend line around September 08. Fast forward to now and grouping is starting to fade, i am looking for a 'final' retouch then rejection

Photobucket

This has been a long post.

In conclusion i am looking for the DJIA to hit the 61.8% retrace and bounce back to the L-T downward trend line to clear out a few more shorts before heading 'south'. The XJO has already hit the 61.8% mark and bounced.

i will post more on the anticipated bounce in coming days

safe trading

No comments: